Campaign run · Parkinson's disease
parkinson-tcell-foothold-r2
The question is whether the transcriptomic footprint of the Ma-2025 T-cell signature (the genes co-expressed in the clonally expanded CD8+ population) can be detected in those four independent atlases, in a deconvolution-inferred T-cell or lymphocyte cluster, without TCR ground truth.
Status
- How far it got
- Tested, stopped before review
Tested at least one hypothesis, then stopped before the multi-agent review stage.
- Hypotheses
5 nominated; 5 evaluated.
- Recorded status
Halted. The run recorded a final status of halted: it was closed without being marked done. A halted run can still have tested hypotheses and written a final report.
- Census class
Success. Census class is a label from an earlier, process-level census of the campaign. It does not map one-to-one onto the stages above. How the classes compare.
Research question
The sentence under the run id is quoted from this brief.
Full research brief given to the run
Ma, J., Al-Dalahmah, O., Goldman, J.E., Sulzer, D., Sims, P.A. et al. (Nat Commun s41467-025-62478-3, 2025; PMC12322057) reported spatially resolved adaptive immunity in Parkinson's disease substantia nigra: combined snRNA-seq + 10x Visium + scTCR-seq across 44 donors (13 PD + 15 ctrl SN; 10 PD + 8 ctrl cingulate; 265,284 nuclei + 10 donors with Visium) identified clonally expanded CD8+ T cells whose TCRs share homology with α-synuclein peptides and which spatially co-localise with CD44+ reactive astrocytes in PD SN.
The Ma 2025 result depends on rare TCR-seq data, which the Kamath 2022 (GSE178265), Wang 2024 (GSE184950), Adams 2024 (GSE193688) and Fullard 2024 multi-region atlases do not have. The question is whether the transcriptomic footprint of the Ma-2025 T-cell signature (the genes co-expressed in the clonally expanded CD8+ population) can be detected in those four independent atlases, in a deconvolution-inferred T-cell or lymphocyte cluster, without TCR ground truth.
Hypotheses (pre-registered):
H1 (primary — transcriptomic footprint replicates in independent PD snRNA-seq atlases): The Ma 2025-defined T-cell signature (extracted from Supplementary Data of PMC12322057 — the top-50 differentially expressed genes in the clonally expanded CD8+ population vs. all other immune nuclei in PD SN) is scored per cell in T-cell / lymphocyte clusters of:
- Kamath 2022 (GSE178265) SNpc + caudate
- Wang 2024 (GSE184950) SNpc
- Adams 2024 (GSE193688) SN
- Fullard 2024 SNpc + M1 (CELLxGENE d5d0df8f-...) and tested for PD-vs-control per-donor pseudobulk differential at FDR<0.1. At least 3 of 4 atlases show log2FC > 0 in the T-cell-module score in the PD direction.
H2 (secondary — region specificity within multi-region atlas): Within the Fullard atlas (the only multi-region atlas in the panel), the T-cell-module signal is significantly higher in SNpc + cingulate-like cortical regions than in DMNX (Braak 1, vagal-driven, no expected adaptive immune component) or V1 (Braak 6, late-stage, no expected ongoing immune infiltration). Pre-registered ranking: SNpc > M1 > V1 ≈ DMNX. Spearman ρ on rank vs. signature score > 0.5, permutation p < 0.05.
H3 (secondary — T-cell-module × DA-loss covariation): At the donor level, in Kamath / Wang / Adams / Fullard atlases, the T-cell-module pseudobulk score is positively correlated with the AGTR1+ DA-loss score (computed identically to parkinson-da-vulnerability proposal): donors with more T-cell signal also have more vulnerable- DA loss. Spearman ρ > 0.3, permutation p < 0.05 in ≥ 2 of 4 atlases.
H4 (secondary — astrocyte co-localisation in spatial slabs): Where Visium-spatial data is available (Martirosyan A5, Ma 2025 itself), spatial spots scoring high for the T-cell module are also enriched for CD44+ / GFAP-high reactive astrocyte markers (Ma 2025's reported co-localisation), with Spearman ρ > 0.3 on per-spot z-scored module scores.
H5 (secondary — non-α-syn-homology bound — negative control): We pre-register a non-PD-relevant T-cell sub-signature (a generic exhaustion module: PDCD1, HAVCR2, LAG3, TOX, TIGIT) as a negative control. The exhaustion module should NOT show preferential PD enrichment (this signal is canonical to tumor immunology and PD T cells are not exhausted in the same way). A positive enrichment of the exhaustion module would suggest the H1 signal is a non-specific "T cell present" signal rather than a PD-specific clonally-expanded program.
A null result on H1 is informative: it would mean that without TCR-seq ground truth, the clonal-expansion signal in Ma 2025 is not detectable from gene expression alone — calling into question any retrospective inference of adaptive immunity from existing PD snRNA-seq atlases.
The research question comes from the topic's current research brief. All attempts at a topic share it; earlier attempts may have started from an earlier wording.
Hypotheses and verdicts
Each hypothesis was written with its decision rule before any analysis (or, for on-the-fly hypotheses, recorded during execution). AI adjudication agents applied that rule to the run's latest outputs and quoted the evidence verbatim. Where the data did not meet the rule, the verdict follows the data, even if the run's own label or report claimed support.
| ID | Hypothesis and decision rule | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| H1Pre-registered | Ma 2025 clonal CD8+ T-cell module PD-up (FDR<0.1) in >=3/4 independent snRNA-seq atlases, beating shuffled-label null | InconclusiveIn the explorer |
Evidence (verbatim from the run outputs) The primary hypothesis is not evaluable with the data currently in the shared cache. Adjudication note Run labelled NOT SUPPORTED (0/1 atlases), but only Fullard tested and its leukocytes were DMNX-dominated with zero SNpc cells; Kamath/Wang/Adams not downloaded (file size/run budget). Arguably NOT_TESTED_DATA. | ||
| H2Pre-registered | T-cell module region ranking SNpc > M1 > V1 ≈ DMNX in Fullard (Spearman rho>=0.5, perm p<0.05) | InconclusiveIn the explorer |
Evidence (verbatim from the run outputs) ρ = 0.500, permutation p = 0.505. Adjudication note Run labelled NOT SUPPORTED; SNpc absent (0 leukocytes), only 3 regions so p<0.05 is unreachable. | ||
| H3Pre-registered | Per-donor T-cell module score correlates with AGTR1+ DA loss (rho>0.3, p<0.05) in >=2/4 atlases | Not testableIn the explorer |
Evidence (verbatim from the run outputs) The Census query fetched only leukocyte-annotated cells; dopaminergic neurons (AGTR1+ DA cluster) were not downloaded. Adjudication note DEFERRED; data not fetched (could be classed NOT_TESTED_OTHER). | ||
| H4Pre-registered | Visium spots high in T-cell module co-enriched for reactive-astrocyte markers (rho>=0.3) | Not testableIn the explorer |
Evidence (verbatim from the run outputs) GSE243639 (Martirosyan 2024 Visium data) RAW.tar (1.2 GB) was not downloaded. Adjudication note DEFERRED; the sibling run later found GSE243639 is snRNA-seq, not Visium. | ||
| H5Pre-registered | Negative control: exhaustion module NOT PD-enriched (FDR>0.1) in >=3/4 atlases | InconclusiveIn the explorer |
Evidence (verbatim from the run outputs) the exhaustion module (PDCD1, HAVCR2, LAG3, TOX, TIGIT) shows mean PD − ctrl difference of +0.012, Wilcoxon padj = 1.000. Adjudication note Run claims SUPPORTED, but the rule needs >=3/4 atlases and only 1 (wrong-tissue) atlas was tested. | ||